Provincial election Final Voting Day Saturday, October 24, 2026 Advance voting October 16 to 21Where to vote

BC Ballot / Polls

BC election polls 2026

Checked Oct 5, 2026 Where to vote Advance voting, Oct 16 to 21

Latest poll Angus Reid Institute

NewFieldwork Oct 1 to 3, released Oct 5

NDP: 43%
Conservative: 48%
Green: 7%
CentreBC: not reported
OneBC: not reported
Other: 2%
Undecided: 12%

Previous Angus Reid Institute poll, fieldwork Sep 22 to 24, same method and base

NDP: 35%
Conservative: 43%
Green: 12%
CentreBC: 3%
OneBC: 4%
Other: 3%
Undecided: 20%

Angus Reid Institute surveyed 1,013 respondents online. The party shares are of and leaning voters.Margin as Angus Reid Institute states it: for comparison only, ±3 points, 19 times out of 20, for a random sample of this size.

Release Report (PDF) Tables (PDF) This poll in the table

35 polls of BC provincial vote intention published since October 20, 2024, each shown as its pollster published it. This page does not combine polls, count seats or forecast a result.

BC polls by party

Since Sep 1. One dot is one poll, at the last day of its fieldwork. One percentage point is the same height in every row. Ringed: the newest, Angus Reid Institute, Oct 1 to 3. Every figure is in the table.

BC NDP In 10 of 10 polls

Conservative Party In 10 of 10 polls

BC Green Party In 10 of 10 polls

CentreBC In 7 of 10 pollsNot in the newest pollnot in newest

OneBC In 7 of 10 pollsNot in the newest pollnot in newest

BC election 2026 polls since October 20, 2024

Party shares are of the base each pollster reports, most often decided voters. Undecided is a share of the wider sample. – not reported.

Download the table (CSV) Regions, issues and leaders (CSV)

NDP BC NDP CON Conservative Party GRN BC Green Party CEN CentreBC ONE OneBC Oth Other Und Undecided

Poll

Other

Undecided

Angus Reid Institute New Oct 1 to 3 1,013 online, decided and leaning

43%

48%

7%

2%

12%

Method and source

Angus Reid Institute surveyed 1,013 respondents online, October 1 to 3, 2026. The party shares are of decided and leaning voters.

Sponsor: Self-commissioned
Released: October 5, 2026
Sample: n=1,013
Base: Decided and leaning voters (n=846)
Method: Online
Margin of error: “For comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.”
Undecided: 12% of all respondents
Other: The pollster’s label: Other party
Notes: CentreBC and OneBC are not reported separately; the release counts both in Other party.Undecided is from the release's chart of vote intention including undecideds and those who would not vote (n=1,013).
Source: Release · Report (PDF) · Tables (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided and leaning voters
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Van	385	48%	44%	6%	not reported	not reported	2%
Fraser Valley	128	28%	62%	8%	not reported	not reported	2%
Island/ North Coast	176	48%	39%	12%	not reported	not reported	1%
Interior	160	36%	57%	5%	not reported	not reported	2%

Source Release · Tables (PDF)

Fieldwork before nominations closed, October 3, 2026

Ipsos Sep 25 to 29 1,001 online, decided voters

40%

42%

10%

3%

3%

2%

27%

Method and source

Ipsos surveyed 1,001 respondents online, September 25 to 29, 2026. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: Global BC
Released: October 1, 2026
Sample: n=1,001
Base: Decided voters
Method: Online
Margin of error: “The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ±3.7 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.”
Undecided: 27% of all respondents
Other: The pollster’s label: Some other party or candidate
Notes: Undecided is the share undecided or expressing no preference.Ipsos conducted the poll in partnership with Global BC.
Source: Release · Tables (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided voters
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Vancouver	425	43%	41%	10%	2%	3%	2%
Vancouver Island	117	48%	30%	9%	5%	2%	6%
North/Interior	189	31%	49%	13%	3%	3%	1%

Top issue Cost of living/inflation 56% of All respondents (unweighted 1,001; weighted 1,001); up to three choices

Leaders of All respondents (unweighted 1,001; weighted 1,001)

David Eby BC NDP Favourable 37% Preferred premier 33%
Lorne Doerkson Conservative Party Favourable 20% Preferred premier 17%
Emily Lowan BC Green Party Favourable 15% Preferred premier 6%
Elenore Sturko CentreBC Favourable 13% Preferred premier 4%
Dallas Brodie OneBC Favourable 12% Preferred premier 6%

Source Tables (PDF) · Release

Innovative Research Group Sep 25 to 28 649 online, decided voters

41%

39%

11%

3%

4%

3%

13%

Method and source

Innovative Research Group surveyed 649 respondents online, September 25 to 28, 2026. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: Self-commissioned
Released: September 29, 2026
Sample: n=649, weighted to 500
Base: Decided voters only (n=411)
Method: Online
Margin of error: “since the online survey was not a random probability-based sample, a margin of error cannot be calculated.”
Undecided: 13% of all respondents
Notes: The chart footnote reads: “OneBC (n=15) and CentreBC (n=14) are included in ‘Other’ due to small sample size”; the chart shows both separately.The deck is dated September 28, 2026; it was posted September 29, 2026.The chart’s heading says “the Greens and other parties each have 10%”; the chart prints 11% on the Green bar, and that figure is shown.
Source: Release · Report (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region All respondents; combined vote (vote + lean)
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Lower Mainland and Fraser Valley	314	38%	30%	8%	not reported	not reported	8%
Vancouver Island and Sunshine Coast	190	30%	29%	10%	not reported	not reported	9%
Interior and North	145	26%	38%	10%	not reported	not reported	7%

Leaders of All respondents (n=500)

David Eby BC NDP Preferred premier 27%
Lorne Doerkson Conservative Party Preferred premier 23%
Emily Lowan BC Green Party Preferred premier 7%
Elenore Sturko CentreBC Preferred premier 5%
Dallas Brodie OneBC Preferred premier 5%

Source Release

Leger Sep 24 to 28 1,003 online, decided voters

36%

39%

13%

5%

5%

2%

13%

Method and source

Leger surveyed 1,003 respondents online, September 24 to 28, 2026. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: September 29, 2026
Sample: n=1,003
Base: Decided voters
Method: Online
Margin of error: “For comparison purposes, a probability sample of n=1,003 yields a margin of error no greater than ±3.1% (19 times out of 20) for the total BC sample.”
Undecided: 13% of all respondents
Other: The pollster’s label: Another party / an independent candidate
Notes: The Vancouver Sun reported the poll first, on September 29, 2026; Leger posted its release on September 30, 2026.
Source: Release · Report (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided voters
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Van	not reported	39%	37%	12%	5%	5%	2%
Van Island	not reported	37%	37%	16%	3%	3%	4%
Rest of BC	not reported	31%	44%	12%	5%	7%	1%

Top issue Health care 15% of BC residents (Weighted: n= 1,003 ; Unweighted: n= 1,003); single choice (most important issue)

Leaders of BC Residents (Weighted: n=1,003 ; Unweighted: n=1,003)

David Eby BC NDP Approve 39% Preferred premier 39%
Lorne Doerkson Conservative Party Approve 33% Preferred premier 35%
Emily Lowan BC Green Party Approve 32% Preferred premier 15%
Elenore Sturko CentreBC Approve 20% Preferred premier 5%
Dallas Brodie OneBC Approve 19% Preferred premier 6%

Source Release

Liaison Strategies Sep 26 to 27 1,000 automated phone, decided and leaning

39%

40%

11%

4%

3%

3%

25%

Method and source

Liaison Strategies surveyed 1,000 respondents by automated phone call (IVR), September 26 to 27, 2026. The party shares are of decided and leaning voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: September 29, 2026
Sample: n=1,000
Base: Decided and leaning voters
Method: IVR
Margin of error: “For the total sample, the margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The margin is higher for subsamples, including decided and leaning voters.”
Undecided: 25% of all respondents
Notes: Undecided is from the first vote question, before the leaning question.
Source: Release · Tables (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided and Leaning
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Vancouver	413	40%	37%	13%	5%	3%	2%
Vancouver Island	178	47%	28%	15%	3%	4%	3%
Rest of BC	259	32%	51%	5%	5%	4%	4%

Leaders of Total (weighted sample size 1,000)

David Eby BC NDP Approve 38%
Lorne Doerkson Conservative Party Favourable 27%
Emily Lowan BC Green Party Favourable 22%

Source Tables (PDF)

Angus Reid Institute Sep 22 to 24 801 online, decided and leaning

35%

43%

12%

3%

4%

3%

20%

Method and source

Angus Reid Institute surveyed 801 respondents online, September 22 to 24, 2026. The party shares are of decided and leaning voters.

Sponsor: Self-commissioned
Released: September 24, 2026
Sample: n=801
Base: Decided and leaning voters (n=682)
Method: Online
Margin of error: “For comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of +/– 3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.”
Undecided: 20% of all respondents
Other: The pollster’s label: Independent/non-affiliated candidate
Notes: The tables give Other party 10, of which CentreBC 3, OneBC 4 and independent or non-affiliated candidate 3.Undecided is from the first vote question, before the leaning question.
Source: Release · Tables (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided voters (Support+ Leaners)
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Van	365	34%	44%	11%	4%	3%	4%
Fraser Valley	85	36%	51%	6%	3%	4%	not reported
Island/ North	111	39%	30%	26%	2%	1%	3%
BC Interior	122	31%	51%	5%	2%	9%	2%

Top issue Cost of living/Inflation 59% of All respondents; up to three choices

Leaders of All respondents

David Eby BC NDP Favourable 33%
Lorne Doerkson Conservative Party Favourable 25%
Emily Lowan BC Green Party Favourable 27%

Source Tables (PDF) · Tables (PDF)

Liaison Strategies Sep 21 to 22 1,000 automated phone, decided and leaning

41%

36%

12%

4%

4%

3%

24%

Method and source

Liaison Strategies surveyed 1,000 respondents by automated phone call (IVR), September 21 to 22, 2026. The party shares are of decided and leaning voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: September 23, 2026
Sample: n=1,000
Base: Decided and leaning voters
Method: IVR
Margin of error: “For the total sample, the margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The margin is higher for subsamples, including decided and leaning voters.”
Undecided: 24% of all respondents
Notes: Undecided is from the first vote question, before the leaning question.
Source: Release · Tables (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided and Leaning
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Vancouver CMA	428	43%	34%	13%	3%	3%	4%
Vancouver Island	162	45%	32%	15%	3%	1%	4%

Leaders of Total (weighted sample size 1,000)

David Eby BC NDP Approve 42%
Lorne Doerkson Conservative Party Favourable 21%
Emily Lowan BC Green Party Favourable 20%

Source Tables (PDF) · Release

Fieldwork before the election was called, September 22, 2026

Innovative Research Group Sep 4 to 18 560 online, decided voters

43%

39%

14%

4%

Method and source

Innovative Research Group surveyed 560 respondents online, September 4 to 18, 2026. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: Self-commissioned
Released: September 22, 2026
Sample: n=560, weighted to 500
Base: Decided voters only (n=399)
Method: Online
Margin of error: “since the online survey was not a random probability-based sample, a margin of error cannot be calculated.”
Notes: The report gives the fieldwork as September 4 to 18 on its cover and in its method text, and as September 4 to 15 under Field Dates; the web post gives August 24 to 25.CentreBC and OneBC are not reported separately.
Source: Release · Report (PDF)

Angus Reid Institute Sep 8 to 15 749 online, decided voters

41%

37%

13%

9%

Method and source

Angus Reid Institute surveyed 749 respondents online, September 8 to 15, 2026. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: Self-commissioned
Released: September 17, 2026
Sample: n=749
Base: BC decided voters
Method: Online
Margin of error: “For comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of +/– 4 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.”
Other: The pollster’s label: Other party
Notes: CentreBC and OneBC were not choices in the question (the published questionnaire).
Source: Release · Tables (PDF) · Questionnaire (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region BC Decided voters
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Van	not reported	43%	34%	14%	not reported	not reported	9%
Fraser Valley/ Lower Main	not reported	43%	41%	5%	not reported	not reported	10%
Island/North Coast	not reported	44%	29%	20%	not reported	not reported	6%
BC Int	not reported	33%	48%	8%	not reported	not reported	11%

Top issue Cost of living/Inflation 63% of All respondents; up to three choices

Leaders of All respondents

David Eby BC NDP Approve 41%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay Conservative Party Favourable 22%
Emily Lowan BC Green Party Favourable 26%
Dallas Brodie OneBC Favourable 18%

Source Tables (PDF) · Tables (PDF)

Ipsos Sep 8 to 14 800 online, decided voters

45%

35%

10%

4%

2%

4%

28%

Method and source

Ipsos surveyed 800 respondents online, September 8 to 14, 2026. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: September 15, 2026
Sample: n=800
Base: Decided voters
Method: Online
Margin of error: “The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ±4.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.”
Undecided: 28% of all respondents
Other: The pollster’s label: Some other party or candidate
Notes: Undecided is the share undecided or expressing no preference.
Source: Release · Tables (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided voters
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Vancouver	305	47%	34%	10%	3%	2%	3%
Vancouver Island	99	44%	30%	11%	6%	1%	8%
Interior/North	162	41%	41%	10%	4%	1%	3%

Leaders of All respondents (unweighted 800; weighted 800)

David Eby BC NDP Favourable 41%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay Conservative Party Favourable 17%
Emily Lowan BC Green Party Favourable 12%
Mike Bernier CentreBC Favourable 9%
Dallas Brodie OneBC Favourable 10%

Source Tables (PDF)

Earlier polls (25)

NDP BC NDP CON Conservative Party GRN BC Green Party CEN CentreBC ONE OneBC Oth Other Und Undecided

Poll

Other

Undecided

Research Co. Aug 12 to 14 801 online, decided voters

44%

39%

10%

5%

1%

1%

16%

Method and source

Research Co. surveyed 801 respondents online, August 12 to 14, 2026. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: August 18, 2026
Sample: n=801
Base: Decided voters
Method: Online
Margin of error: “The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.5 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.”
Undecided: 16% of all respondents
Other: The pollster’s label: Another party / An independent candidate
Source: Release · Tables (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided voters
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Vancouver	not reported	42%	40%	11%	4%	2%	1%
Fraser Valley	not reported	45%	45%	5%	5%	1%	0%
Southern BC	not reported	47%	45%	3%	6%	0%	2%
Northern BC	not reported	32%	53%	7%	6%	2%	1%
Vancouver Island	not reported	52%	26%	13%	8%	0%	2%

Top issue Housing / Poverty / Homelessness 29% of All respondents

Leaders of All respondents

David Eby BC NDP Approve 49%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay Conservative Party Approve 34%
Emily Lowan BC Green Party Approve 38%
Mike Bernier CentreBC Approve 24%
Dallas Brodie OneBC Approve 18%

Source Release · Tables (PDF)

604 Polling Jul 31 to Aug 8 1,124 automated phone, decided voters

35.4%

44.6%

12.2%

2.2%

1.9%

3.6%

9.0%

Method and source

604 Polling surveyed 1,124 respondents by automated phone call (IVR), July 31 to August 8, 2026. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: August 11, 2026
Sample: n=1,124
Base: Decided voters (undecided respondents excluded)
Method: IVR
Margin of error: “±2.9 percentage points, 19 times out of 20”
Undecided: 9.0% of all respondents
Other: The pollster’s label: Another Party
Source: Report (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided voters
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Lower Mainland	not reported	36.0%	44.4%	12.7%	2.3%	1.6%	3.0%
Vancouver Island	not reported	41.2%	33.4%	18.0%	2.5%	2.0%	2.9%
Northern/Interior BC	not reported	31.2%	51.4%	8.0%	1.8%	2.4%	5.2%

Leaders of All respondents

David Eby BC NDP Preferred premier 26.9%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay Conservative Party Preferred premier 23.1%
Emily Lowan BC Green Party Preferred premier 7.7%
Mike Bernier CentreBC Preferred premier 2.5%
Dallas Brodie OneBC Preferred premier 3.5%

Source Release · Release

Angus Reid Institute Jun 1 to 12 755 online, decided voters

36%

47%

11%

6%

28%

Method and source

Angus Reid Institute surveyed 755 respondents online, June 1 to 12, 2026. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: Self-commissioned
Released: June 16, 2026
Sample: n=755
Base: Decided voters (n=607)
Method: Online
Margin of error: “For comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of ±4 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.”
Undecided: 28% of all respondents
Other: The pollster’s label: Other party
Notes: CentreBC and OneBC are not reported separately.Undecided is the share not sure how they would vote before the leaning question.
Source: Release · Tables (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region BC Decided voters
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Van	not reported	41%	46%	7%	not reported	not reported	5%
Lower Main/ Fraser Valley	not reported	40%	48%	3%	not reported	not reported	8%
Island/ North Coast	not reported	29%	43%	24%	not reported	not reported	4%
Interior	not reported	30%	53%	11%	not reported	not reported	7%

Top issue Cost of living/Inflation 56% of All respondents

Leaders of All respondents

David Eby BC NDP Approve 31%

Source Tables (PDF)

Research Co. Jun 3 to 5 803 online, decided voters

42%

42%

9%

3%

2%

2%

18%

Method and source

Research Co. surveyed 803 respondents online, June 3 to 5, 2026. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: June 8, 2026
Sample: n=803
Base: Decided voters
Method: Online
Margin of error: “The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.5 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.”
Undecided: 18% of all respondents
Other: The pollster’s label: Another party / An independent candidate
Notes: The release is datelined June 6, 2026 and was posted June 8, 2026.A second question that added the BC Liberals as a choice is not shown.
Source: Release · Tables (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided voters
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Vancouver	not reported	43%	39%	9%	3%	3%	2%
Fraser Valley	not reported	36%	56%	4%	3%	1%	1%
Southern BC	not reported	50%	41%	4%	3%	2%	1%
Northern BC	not reported	23%	57%	16%	4%	0%	1%
Vancouver Island	not reported	42%	39%	11%	1%	2%	4%

Top issue Housing / Poverty / Homelessness 29% of All respondents

Leaders of All respondents

David Eby BC NDP Approve 48%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay Conservative Party Approve 32%
Emily Lowan BC Green Party Approve 34%
Karin Kirkpatrick CentreBC Approve 19%
Dallas Brodie OneBC Approve 20%

Source Release · Tables (PDF) · Release

Leger Jun 1 to 2 1,002 online, decided voters

41%

45%

8%

6%

Method and source

Leger surveyed 1,002 respondents online, June 1 to 2, 2026. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: June 5, 2026
Sample: n=1,002
Base: Decided voters
Method: Online
Margin of error: “For comparison purposes, a probability sample of n=1,002 yields a margin of error no greater than ±3.1% (19 times out of 20) for the total BC sample.”
Other: The pollster’s label: Another party/ an independent candidate
Notes: CentreBC and OneBC are not reported separately.
Source: Release · Report (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided voters
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Van	not reported	43%	44%	6%	not reported	not reported	6%
Van Isle	not reported	35%	40%	18%	not reported	not reported	7%
Rest of BC	not reported	41%	48%	6%	not reported	not reported	5%

Top issue Housing prices / affordability 17% of BC residents (Weighted: n= 1,002 ; Unweighted: n= 1,002); single choice (most important issue)

Leaders of BC residents (Weighted: n= 1,002 ; Unweighted: n= 1,002)

David Eby BC NDP Preferred premier 30%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay Conservative Party Preferred premier 27% Favourable 17%
Emily Lowan BC Green Party Preferred premier 6%

Source Release

Angus Reid Institute Apr 24 to 28 804 online, decided voters

36%

46%

13%

4%

Method and source

Angus Reid Institute surveyed 804 respondents online, April 24 to 28, 2026. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: Self-commissioned
Released: May 4, 2026
Sample: n=804
Base: Decided voters (weighted n=600; unweighted n=595)
Method: Online
Margin of error: “For comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.”
Other: The pollster’s label: Other party
Notes: The pollster’s documents differ on the base. The release charts are titled “(Decided and leaning voters)” and the regional chart labels its total “All respondents (n=804)”; the tables title the question “Q_Land2. (Decided voters)” with “Base = Decided voters, weighted 600, Unweighted 595”; the published questionnaire has no leaning question. The base is shown as the tables and the questionnaire give it.The page is dated May 4, 2026; the release is datelined May 5, 2026.The release text gives the NDP figure (36 per cent); the other shares are from the tables.CentreBC and OneBC were not choices in the question (the published questionnaire).
Source: Release · Report (PDF) · Tables (PDF) · Questionnaire (PDF)

Mainstreet Research Apr 9 to 13 1,275 automated phone, online, decided voters

38.0%

32.8%

16.1%

10.9%

2.2%

16.9%

Method and source

Mainstreet Research surveyed 1,275 respondents by IVR and Text-to-Online, April 9 to 13, 2026. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: April 15, 2026
Sample: n=1,275
Base: Decided Voters, Undecided Removed (n=1196)
Method: IVR and Text-to-Online
Margin of error: “The margin of error for the poll is +/- 2.8% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample.”
Undecided: 16.9% of all respondents
Notes: Every share and the undecided figure are printed as labels beside each party's name on the report's charts; the crosstab tables in the public report are blank.The ballot named interim BC Conservative leader Trevor Halford; five leadership-scenario ballots in the same report are hypothetical and not shown.CentreBC is not reported separately.Undecided is from the all-voters ballot; the decided-and-leaning chart keeps 6.1% undecided.The report's Key Insights text says OneBC has risen to 10% among all voters; the all-voters chart shows 9.1%.An earlier upload of the same report has the same Halford ballot and different Key Insights and leadership-scenario figures; the post links the version used here.
Source: Release · Report (PDF)

Leger Apr 3 to 6 1,003 online, decided voters

44%

40%

10%

3%

4%

Method and source

Leger surveyed 1,003 respondents online, April 3 to 6, 2026. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: April 10, 2026
Sample: n=1,003
Base: Decided voters (Weighted: n= 779 ; Unweighted: n= 793)
Method: Online
Margin of error: “For comparison purposes, a probability sample of n=1,003 yields a margin of error no greater than ±3.1% (19 times out of 20) for the total BC sample.”
Notes: CentreBC is not reported separately.The Vancouver Sun reported the poll first, on April 10, 2026; Leger posted its release on May 4, 2026.
Source: Release · Report (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided voters
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Van	not reported	49%	38%	8%	not reported	3%	2%
Van Isle	not reported	40%	36%	14%	not reported	1%	9%
Rest of BC	not reported	35%	47%	10%	not reported	4%	4%

Top issue Housing prices / affordability 15% of BC residents (Weighted: n= 1,003 ; Unweighted: n= 1,003); single choice (most important issue)

Leaders of BC residents (Weighted: n= 1,003 ; Unweighted: n= 1,003)

David Eby BC NDP Approve 43%
Emily Lowan BC Green Party Approve 27%
Dallas Brodie OneBC Approve 15%

Source Release

Angus Reid Institute Mar 11 to 17 499 online, decided and leaning

42%

44%

9%

7%

Method and source

Angus Reid Institute surveyed 499 respondents online, March 11 to 17, 2026. The party shares are of decided and leaning voters.

Sponsor: Self-commissioned
Released: March 31, 2026
Sample: n=499
Base: Decided and leaning voters (weighted n=412; unweighted n=410)
Method: Online
Margin of error: “For comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.”
Other: The pollster’s label: Other party
Notes: The pollster’s documents differ on the sample size. The release says “a randomized sample of 499 Canadian adults who are residents of British Columbia”; the tables give “Weighted sample size 499” and “Unweighted sample size 500”. The sample is shown as the release states it.The page is dated March 31, 2026; the release is datelined April 1, 2026.The release text gives the NDP (42 per cent) and Conservative (44 per cent) figures; the Green and other figures are from the tables.CentreBC and OneBC were not choices in the question (the published questionnaire).
Source: Release · Report (PDF) · Tables (PDF) · Questionnaire (PDF)

Mainstreet Research Mar 11 to 13 1,054 automated phone, online, decided voters

38.6%

36.8%

11.6%

13.0%

17.4%

Method and source

Mainstreet Research surveyed 1,054 respondents by Smart IVR and text message to online survey, March 11 to 13, 2026. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: Self-commissioned
Released: March 16, 2026
Sample: n=1,054
Base: Decided Voters Only (Undecided Removed) (n=991)
Method: Smart IVR and text message to online survey
Margin of error: “The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample.”
Undecided: 17.4% of all respondents
Other: The pollster’s label: Another Party
Notes: The ballot named interim BC Conservative leader Trevor Halford; four leadership-scenario ballots in the same report are hypothetical and not shown.Shares are from the Total column of the report's decided-voter table; its other columns are blank in the public report.CentreBC and OneBC are not reported separately.Undecided is from the all-voters ballot; the decided-plus-leaners table keeps 6.2% residual undecided.The report says the poll was commissioned by and is the exclusive property of Mainstreet Research.
Source: Release · Report (PDF)

Also in this poll

Top issue Cost of Living 27.0% of All Voters; "What is the most important issue for your BC election vote?"

Source Release

Pallas Data Feb 12 to 14 988 automated phone, decided and leaning

42.3%

37.0%

12.6%

5.7%

2.4%

15.5%

Method and source

Pallas Data surveyed 988 respondents by automated phone call (IVR), February 12 to 14, 2026. The party shares are of decided and leaning voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: February 19, 2026
Sample: n=988
Base: Decided and Leaning Voters (n=909)
Method: IVR
Margin of error: “The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.1%, at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample.”
Undecided: 15.5% of all respondents
Other: The pollster’s label: Another Party
Notes: The pollster's documents give three OneBC figures. The post body says OneBC "sits at 7% (+1%)", the post title says "OneBC 6%", and the report's decided-and-leaning table gives 5.7%.The report is dated 2026-02-15; the post is dated February 19, 2026.Shares are from the report's tables; the post rounds them to whole numbers.Undecided is from the first vote question, before the leaning question.CentreBC is not reported separately.OneBC is shown at the report table's 5.7%; the post's 6% is that figure rounded.
Source: Release · Report (PDF)

Leger Jan 23 to 26 1,003 online, decided voters

44%

38%

9%

6%

3%

Method and source

Leger surveyed 1,003 respondents online, January 23 to 26, 2026. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: February 1, 2026
Sample: n=1,003
Base: Decided voters (Weighted: n= 819 ; Unweighted: n= 818)
Method: Online
Margin of error: “For comparison purposes, a probability sample of n=1,003 yields a margin of error no greater than ±3.1% (19 times out of 20) for the total BC sample.”
Notes: CentreBC is not reported separately.The Vancouver Sun reported the poll first, on February 1, 2026, as a poll “to be released Monday”; Leger posted its release on February 3, 2026.Leger's post describes the sample as “1,003 Canadian residents aged 18 or older”; the report says BC residents.
Source: Release · Report (PDF)

Also in this poll

Top issue Housing prices / affordability 18% of BC residents (Weighted: n= 1,003 ; Unweighted: n= 1,003); single choice (most important issue)

Source Release

Pallas Data Dec 11 to 13, 2025 923 automated phone, decided voters

43.6%

38.9%

9.5%

7.0%

1.2%

13.0%

Method and source

Pallas Data surveyed 923 respondents by automated phone call (IVR), December 11 to 13, 2025. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: Pacific Conservative Foundation
Released: December 22, 2025
Sample: n=923
Base: Decided Voters Only (n=791)
Method: IVR
Margin of error: “The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.2%, at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample.”
Undecided: 13.0% of all respondents
Other: The pollster’s label: Another Party
Notes: The post is datelined December 17, 2025 and was posted December 22, 2025; the report is dated 2025-12-16.Shares are from the report's decided-voter table; the post rounds them to whole numbers.Undecided is from the all-voters table.CentreBC is not reported separately.
Source: Release · Report (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided Voters Only
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Vancouver	332	49.0%	36.5%	8.4%	not reported	5.2%	0.8%
Vancouver Island	176	42.8%	27.4%	16.1%	not reported	11.7%	2.1%
Rest of BC	283	36.3%	47.6%	7.8%	not reported	7.1%	1.2%

Source Release

Angus Reid Institute Nov 26 to Dec 1, 2025 574 online, decided and leaning

43%

40%

11%

8%

Method and source

Angus Reid Institute surveyed 574 respondents online, November 26 to December 1, 2025. The party shares are of decided and leaning voters.

Sponsor: Self-commissioned
Released: December 17, 2025
Sample: n=574
Base: Decided and leaning voters (n=463)
Method: Online
Margin of error: “+/- 4%”
Other: The pollster’s label: Other party
Notes: The margin of error is from the table headed “Provincial margins of error” at the end of the report; the release has no margin-of-error sentence. Its methodology says “Provincial margin of errors are found at the end of the report.”; the report ends with a table headed “Provincial margins of error” whose BC cell reads “BC (574)” and “+/- 4%”.The BC figures come from a national survey of 4,025 Canadian adults; the BC sample is 574 (the tables’ Sample Size row and the margin-of-error table). 463 is the decided and leaning base.The page is dated December 17, 2025; the release is datelined December 18, 2025.The release text gives the Conservative (40 per cent) and other (eight per cent) figures; the NDP and Green figures are from the tables.CentreBC and OneBC are not reported separately; no questionnaire was published with this release.The chart notes the data were collected before John Rustad’s resignation.
Source: Release · Report (PDF) · Tables (PDF)

Angus Reid Institute Oct 23 to 25, 2025 1,044 online, decided and leaning

40%

41%

11%

1%

5%

1%

Method and source

Angus Reid Institute surveyed 1,044 respondents online, October 23 to 25, 2025. The party shares are of decided and leaning voters.

Sponsor: Self-commissioned
Released: October 26, 2025
Sample: n=1,044
Base: Decided and leaning voters (n=819)
Method: Online
Margin of error: “For comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.”
Other: The pollster’s label: Another provincial party (specify)
Notes: CentreBC is spelled “CenterBC” in the question and the tables.The release text gives the five party figures; the other figure is from the tables.
Source: Release · Report (PDF) · Tables (PDF) · Questionnaire (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided voters (Will support + Leaners)
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Van	314	49%	33%	9%	2%	6%	1%
Fraser Valley	167	40%	46%	8%	2%	2%	3%
Island/ North Coast	178	38%	36%	22%	1%	4%	not reported
Interior	160	28%	55%	7%	not reported	8%	2%

Top issue Cost of living/Inflation 60% of All respondents; up to three choices

Leaders of All respondents

David Eby BC NDP Approve 39%
John Rustad Conservative Party Favourable 24%
Emily Lowan BC Green Party Favourable 22%
Karin Kirkpatrick CentreBC Favourable 4%
Dallas Brodie OneBC Favourable 10%

Source Tables (PDF) · Tables (PDF)

Abacus Data Oct 9 to 15, 2025 1,000 online, decided voters

47%

40%

8%

3%

1%

26%

Method and source

Abacus Data surveyed 1,000 respondents by Panel survey, October 9 to 15, 2025. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: Self-commissioned
Released: October 20, 2025
Sample: n=1,000
Base: Committed voters
Method: Panel survey (partner panels on the Lucid exchange platform)
Margin of error: “The margin of error for a comparable probability-based random sample of the same size is +/- 3.1%, 19 times out of 20.”
Undecided: 26% of all respondents
Notes: No other-party figure is published.The release says: “This survey was paid for by Abacus Data Inc.”The release describes the method as: “A random sample of panelists were invited to complete the survey from a set of partner panels based on the Lucid exchange platform.” It does not use the word online.The sample is 1,000 eligible voters in British Columbia.Undecided is the share of all those surveyed who said they were undecided.
Source: Release

Leger Oct 10 to 12, 2025 1,035 online, decided voters

48%

38%

8%

7%

Method and source

Leger surveyed 1,035 respondents online, October 10 to 12, 2025. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: October 28, 2025
Sample: n=1,035
Base: Decided voters (Weighted: n= 851 ; Unweighted: n= 855)
Method: Online
Margin of error: “For comparison purposes, a probability sample of n=1,035 yields a margin of error no greater than ±3.0% (19 times out of 20) for the total BC sample.”
Notes: CentreBC and OneBC are not reported separately.The Vancouver Sun reported the poll first, on October 28, 2025, as released that day; Leger posted its release on October 29, 2025.The report describes the sample as “respondents 18 years of age or who are eligible voters: n=1,035”; Leger's January 2026 report says the October 2025 wave “was conducted on a sample of eligible voters only”.
Source: Release · Report (PDF)

Also in this poll

Top issue Housing prices/ Affordability 23% of All respondents (Weighted: n= 1,035 ; Unweighted: n= 1,035); single choice (most important issue)

Leaders of All respondents (Weighted: n= 1,035 ; Unweighted: n= 1,035)

David Eby BC NDP Approve 47%
John Rustad Conservative Party Approve 30%
Emily Lowan BC Green Party Approve 27%

Source Release

Cardinal Research Oct 4 to 6, 2025 1,088 automated phone, all respondents

34%

33%

8%

3%

20%

Method and source

Cardinal Research surveyed 1,088 respondents by automated phone call (IVR), October 4 to 6, 2025. The party shares are of all respondents.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: October 6, 2025
Sample: n=1,088
Base: All respondents
Method: IVR
Margin of error: “The margin of error associated with this survey is ±3% (19 times out of 20).”
Undecided: 20% of all respondents
Notes: Read from Internet Archive captures: cardinalresearch.ca did not resolve on October 1, 2026.The release gives shares of all respondents, unsure included.CentreBC is not reported separately.The poll page carries no visible date; the pollster's Recent Research list dates it October 6, 2025.
Source: Release · Report (PDF) · Release

Research Co. Oct 1 to 3, 2025 801 online, decided voters

44%

38%

12%

3%

1%

1%

14%

Method and source

Research Co. surveyed 801 respondents online, October 1 to 3, 2025. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: October 6, 2025
Sample: n=801
Base: Decided voters
Method: Online
Margin of error: “The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.5 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.”
Undecided: 14% of all respondents
Other: The pollster’s label: Another party / An independent candidate
Source: Release · Tables (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided voters
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Vancouver	not reported	44%	36%	12%	4%	2%	1%
Fraser Valley	not reported	41%	52%	7%	0%	0%	1%
Northern BC	not reported	29%	52%	12%	7%	0%	0%
Southern BC	not reported	50%	39%	6%	2%	1%	2%
Vancouver Island	not reported	51%	30%	16%	2%	0%	1%

Top issue Housing / Poverty / Homelessness 30% of All respondents

Leaders of All respondents

David Eby BC NDP Approve 53% Preferred premier 37%
John Rustad Conservative Party Approve 37% Preferred premier 21%
Emily Lowan BC Green Party Approve 34% Preferred premier 12%
Karin Kirkpatrick CentreBC Approve 27% Preferred premier 4%
Dallas Brodie OneBC Approve 26% Preferred premier 2%

Source Release · Tables (PDF)

Angus Reid Institute Aug 28 to Sep 5, 2025 811 online, decided and leaning

42%

44%

10%

4%

Method and source

Angus Reid Institute surveyed 811 respondents online, August 28 to September 5, 2025. The party shares are of decided and leaning voters.

Sponsor: Self-commissioned
Released: September 11, 2025
Sample: n=811
Base: Leaning and decided voters (n=695)
Method: Online
Margin of error: “+/- 3%”
Other: The pollster’s label: Other party
Notes: The margin of error is from the table headed “Provincial margins of error” at the end of the report; the release has no margin-of-error sentence. Its methodology says “Provincial margins of error are at the end of the release.”; the report ends with a table headed “Provincial margins of error” whose BC cell reads “BC (811)” and “+/- 3%” (an image of the same table on the web page).The BC figures come from a national survey of 4,330 Canadian adults; the BC sample is 811.The page is dated September 11, 2025; the release is datelined Sept. 12, 2025.The release text gives the Conservative (44 per cent) and NDP (42 per cent) figures; the Green and other figures are from the tables, which title the question “QP5/QP6. (BC Decided voters)” (QP6 is the leaning question).CentreBC and OneBC were not choices in the question (the published questionnaire).
Source: Release · Report (PDF) · Tables (PDF) · Questionnaire (PDF)

Research Co. Jun 7 to 9, 2025 803 online, decided voters

43%

42%

8%

2%

3%

16%

Method and source

Research Co. surveyed 803 respondents online, June 7 to 9, 2025. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: June 16, 2025
Sample: n=803
Base: Decided voters
Method: Online
Margin of error: “The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.5 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.”
Undecided: 16% of all respondents
Other: The pollster’s label: Another party / An independent candidate
Notes: The question also offered “A political party featuring Dallas Brodie, Jordan Kealy and Tara Armstrong” (1% of decided voters), which has no column here and is not included in other; the release says the survey was conducted before Brodie and Armstrong announced the formation of OneBC on June 14.The CentreBC figure is labelled “Centre BC”.
Source: Release · Tables (PDF) · Report (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided voters
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Vancouver	not reported	47%	41%	6%	2%	not reported	1%
Fraser Valley	not reported	34%	53%	9%	1%	not reported	3%
Northern BC	not reported	29%	52%	10%	4%	not reported	2%
Southern BC	not reported	43%	43%	4%	4%	not reported	6%
Vancouver Island	not reported	43%	34%	15%	2%	not reported	5%

Top issue Housing / Poverty / Homelessness 34% of All respondents

Leaders of All respondents

David Eby BC NDP Approve 56%
John Rustad Conservative Party Approve 37%
Jeremy Valeriote BC Green Party Approve 27%
Karin Kirkpatrick CentreBC Approve 16%

Source Release · Tables (PDF) · Release

Liaison Strategies May 2 to 4, 2025 800 automated phone, decided and leaning

45%

47%

7%

2%

6%

Method and source

Liaison Strategies surveyed 800 respondents by automated phone call (IVR), May 2 to 4, 2025. The party shares are of decided and leaning voters.

Sponsor: National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada
Released: May 7, 2025
Sample: n=800
Base: Decided & Leaning
Method: IVR
Margin of error: “The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.45%, 19 times out of 20.”
Undecided: 6% of all respondents
Notes: The ballot reports BC NDP, BC Conservative, BC Greens and Other; CentreBC and OneBC are not reported.Undecided is from the All Voters table (the first vote question), before the leaning question.The report's tables have no text layer; the figures were transcribed by hand from its Voting Intent - Provincial page.
Source: Release · Report (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided & Leaning
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Vancouver CMA	not reported	49%	46%	3%	not reported	not reported	1%
Vancouver Island	not reported	44%	34%	19%	not reported	not reported	2%
Remainder of BC	not reported	34%	56%	6%	not reported	not reported	4%

Source Release

Research Co. Mar 3 to 5, 2025 802 online, decided voters

44%

42%

11%

3%

15%

Method and source

Research Co. surveyed 802 respondents online, March 3 to 5, 2025. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: March 11, 2025
Sample: n=802
Base: Decided voters
Method: Online
Margin of error: “The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.5 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.”
Undecided: 15% of all respondents
Other: The pollster’s label: Another party / An independent candidate
Notes: The question listed the BC NDP, the Conservative Party of BC, the BC Green Party and another party or an independent candidate; CentreBC and OneBC were not listed.
Source: Release · Tables (PDF) · Report (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided voters
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Vancouver	not reported	44%	44%	9%	not reported	not reported	3%
Fraser Valley	not reported	34%	47%	14%	not reported	not reported	5%
Northern BC	not reported	39%	44%	12%	not reported	not reported	5%
Southern BC	not reported	49%	47%	4%	not reported	not reported	0%
Vancouver Island	not reported	50%	31%	16%	not reported	not reported	3%

Top issue Housing / Poverty / Homelessness 36% of All respondents

Leaders of All respondents

David Eby BC NDP Approve 55%
John Rustad Conservative Party Approve 40%
Jeremy Valeriote BC Green Party Approve 34%

Source Release · Tables (PDF) · Release

Pallas Data Feb 15, 2025 677 automated phone, decided and leaning

48.8%

40.7%

7.6%

2.9%

8.8%

Method and source

Pallas Data surveyed 677 respondents by automated phone call (IVR), February 15, 2025. The party shares are of decided and leaning voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: February 18, 2025
Sample: n=677
Base: Decided and Leaning Voters (n=648)
Method: IVR
Margin of error: “The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.8%, at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample.”
Undecided: 8.8% of all respondents
Other: The pollster’s label: Another Party
Notes: Shares are from the report's tables; the post rounds them to whole numbers.Undecided is from the first vote question, before the leaning question.CentreBC and OneBC are not reported separately.
Source: Release · Report (PDF)

Also in this poll

By region Decided and Leaning Voters
Region	n	NDP	Conservative	Green	CentreBC	OneBC	Other
Metro Vancouver	217	56.2%	34.3%	5.8%	not reported	not reported	3.7%
Vancouver Island	83	45.3%	39.9%	12.4%	not reported	not reported	2.3%
Rest of BC	348	40.6%	49.4%	8.0%	not reported	not reported	2.0%

Source Release

Leger Jan 24 to 26, 2025 1,001 online, decided voters

44%

42%

10%

Method and source

Leger surveyed 1,001 respondents online, January 24 to 26, 2025. The party shares are of decided voters.

Sponsor: not stated
Released: February 6, 2025
Sample: n=1,001
Base: Decided voters (Weighted: n= 855 ; Unweighted: n= 861)
Method: Online
Margin of error: “No margin of error can be associated with a non-probability sample, but for comparative purposes, a probability sample of this size would have a margin of error of +/-3.1%, 19 times out of 20.”
Notes: CentreBC and OneBC are not reported separately.The report notes: “BC United was removed for the January 2025 wave due to party being suspended”.The report is dated February 5, 2025; Leger's post is dated February 6, 2025.Leger's post gives the margin of error comparison for “a probability sample of 1,002 respondents”; the report says a probability sample of this size and gives the sample as 1,001.
Source: Release · Report (PDF)

Also in this poll

Leaders of All respondents (n= 1,001)

David Eby BC NDP Approve 49%
John Rustad Conservative Party Approve 35%
Sonia Furstenau BC Green Party Approve 38%

Source Release

9 polls not listed, and why

Fairview Strategy fieldwork Jul 6 to 17, 2026Its deck prints two different overall rows.Source, released Aug 11, 2026
Yorkville Strategies fieldwork Jul 28 to Aug 3, 2026Released as image posts on LinkedIn and X; the Green, CentreBC and OneBC shares cannot be read from the pollster.Source, released Aug 11, 2026
Innovative Research Group fieldwork Feb 6 to Mar 3, 2026The Green share is printed only on a chart graphic, and the report does not state the field dates of the vote question.Source, released Mar 9, 2026
Pallas Data fieldwork Feb 25 to 27, 2026The pollster’s post and its report give two different fieldwork periods.Source, released Mar 2, 2026
Mainstreet Research fieldwork Dec 17 to 18, 2025Every share is printed only on the report’s chart graphic; its tables are blank.Source, released Dec 22, 2025
EKOS Research Associates fieldwork Nov 20 to 25, 2025EKOS has not published it; its client, Fair Vote Canada, released the report.Source, released Nov 26, 2025
Yorkville Strategies fieldwork Nov 24 to 25, 2025Released only as a post on X, which states no base and no margin of error.Source, released Nov 26, 2025
Mainstreet Research fieldwork Jun 23 to 24, 2025Every share is printed only on the report’s chart graphics; its tables are blank.Source, released Jun 25, 2025
Leger fieldwork May 23 to 25, 2025The BC Green and Other shares are printed only on chart graphics.Source, released Jun 12, 2025

No poll is added on Final Voting Day, Saturday, October 24, 2026, until voting places close at 8 p.m.

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Sources and method

Each poll’s Source is the pollster’s own release, or the outlet that published it first; every source is archived the day it was read. Each poll gives its own method, such as an or (automated phone calls), and its own or , in the pollster’s words under Method and source.

bcballot.ca does not conduct, commission, weight, average or project polls. Figures are reproduced as each pollster published them; different bases and methods make polls not directly comparable.